Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.003370 0.003536 0.003706 0.003893 0.004093 0.004300 0.004533
2025-03-30 0.003043 0.003286 0.003545 0.003842 0.004174 0.004534 0.004957
2025-04-06 0.002863 0.003153 0.003470 0.003843 0.004274 0.004757 0.005346
2025-04-13 0.002646 0.002956 0.003301 0.003717 0.004207 0.004772 0.005478
2025-04-20 0.002541 0.002876 0.003255 0.003721 0.004284 0.004946 0.005797
2025-04-27 0.002482 0.002842 0.003257 0.003777 0.004418 0.005190 0.006206
2025-05-04 0.002380 0.002752 0.003187 0.003739 0.004431 0.005281 0.006426
2025-05-11 0.002296 0.002679 0.003132 0.003716 0.004458 0.005387 0.006664
2025-05-18 0.002220 0.002610 0.003078 0.003689 0.004477 0.005480 0.006886
2025-05-25 0.002190 0.002598 0.003093 0.003747 0.004605 0.005718 0.007311
2025-06-01 0.002131 0.002546 0.003055 0.003735 0.004640 0.005831 0.007569
2025-06-08 0.002069 0.002488 0.003005 0.003706 0.004649 0.005908 0.007777
2025-06-15 0.001997 0.002416 0.002937 0.003650 0.004621 0.005934 0.007916
2025-06-22 0.001934 0.002352 0.002878 0.003603 0.004603 0.005973 0.008075
2025-06-29 0.001894 0.002318 0.002855 0.003604 0.004649 0.006103 0.008373
2025-07-06 0.001809 0.002222 0.002750 0.003489 0.004528 0.005988 0.008292
2025-07-13 0.001776 0.002194 0.002732 0.003493 0.004575 0.006116 0.008592
2025-07-20 0.001764 0.002192 0.002749 0.003544 0.004691 0.006349 0.009066
2025-07-27 0.001719 0.002147 0.002705 0.003509 0.004679 0.006391 0.009237
2025-08-03 0.001682 0.002109 0.002671 0.003487 0.004686 0.006460 0.009454
2025-08-10 0.001645 0.002072 0.002637 0.003463 0.004687 0.006520 0.009657
2025-08-17 0.001637 0.002074 0.002656 0.003516 0.004806 0.006766 0.010188
2025-08-24 0.001608 0.002045 0.002632 0.003505 0.004827 0.006858 0.010460